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IN CONVERSATION

HE Flávio        S-oAarSeosuDrcaemoicfoI: nspiration
Singapore
and Abiding Friend to Brazil By Nomita Dhar

On the eve of his departure from Singapore, outgoing Ambassador of Brazil to

Singapore, HE Flávio Damico speaks to Editor-in-Chief Ms Nomita Dhar about the

lessons he is taking away and how they can benefit his home country

                 Your Excellency, you have seen                   the centre of economic gravity has slowly
                          and experienced many things             moved away from the West to the East.
                          ever since you arrived here in Sin-     This is a reality we have to be aware of.
                 gapore, three and a half years ago; it           Much of my job in Singapore entails draw-
                 has been quite a roller-coaster ride and         ing the attention of the Brazilian govern-
                 somehow you’ve managed to steer the              ment to developments here.
                 ship of Brazil-Singapore ties in a posi-
                 tive direction. What’s happening in Bra-           Since 2015, the Brazilian economy has
                 zil now on the economic front?                   improved a great deal. The risk percep-
                 In 2016, Brazil was in a very complicated        tion has declined dramatically. In 2015,
                 economic and political situation: a dete-        the annual inflation rate was 10.7%, the
                 riorating debt-to-GDP ratio compromis-           interest rate 14.25%, the stock exchange
                 ing government accounts with serious             index (IBOVESPA) 38,000 and Brazil’s
                 consequences. Beyond the short-term              country risk was at 533 points. In 2019,
                 deleterious macroeconomic situation of           the stock exchange index is 108,000 and
                 fiscal deficits, Brazil was in no position       Brazil’s country risk 117 points – the low-
                 to fund necessary investments in infra-          est level in 6 years, Our inflation too is at
                                                                  the lowest: it’s about 3% and the interest
                        structure to boost the competitive-       rates are now likely to drop to 4.5%, his-
                          ness of its exports of agricultural     torically, its lowest rate. Thus a marked
                            and mineral commodities. Since        improvement in all indicators!
                             our main markets are in Asia, we
                             are disadvantaged in relation          Prospects for the resumption of a fast-
                              to our competitors. Simultane-      er pace of growth by 2020 are quite good.
                               ously, the domestic political      There has been one point about which we
                                situation was also very seri-     are disappointed: the recovery has not
                                 ous with enormous revulsion      been, so far, accompanied by commensu-
                                  against corruption, which led   rate job creation. The economy is not yet
                                   to important changes. Of       strong enough to support consumer con-
                                   course, we could not have      fidence. Besides that, many of the com-
                                     addressed this problem       panies were hit hard by the weak perfor-
                                      unless there was some       mance of the economy in previous years.
                                        political change for a
                                          country that is one of    This brings us to the problems facing
                                          the largest producers   our manufacturing sector, which has a
                                           of commodities, both   lot of hard work to do to become fully
                                          in agriculture and oil  competitive globally. To redress that, we
                                         and gas.                 are moving very fast towards conclud-
                                         Being here in Singa-     ing trade deals. Mercosur has closed one
                                 pore enabled me to consider      with the European Union and also with
                             ways on how a country on the         the European Free Trade Association. We
                             Atlantic could be relevant in a      will have the second round of our trade
                              world where the Indo-Pacific is     negotiations with Singapore shortly. So
                              more and more important. My         now in economic terms we have a lot of
                               good friend Professor Danny        clarity on where we are going and the
                               Quah, Dean of the Lee Kuan         speed at which we can do this. Slowly,
                               Yew School of Public Policy,       the pieces are falling into place and I’m
                                has argued convincingly that      very happy to report the economy has
                                                                  been at its healthiest stage after quite
                                                                  a while.

6 It’s Time for Brazil in Singapore 2019
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